Showing posts with label #electricvehicles. Show all posts
Showing posts with label #electricvehicles. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 27, 2019

It is time to drive an electric vehicle (EV)



...not to buy it


Jay Leno driving his Baker Electric, which is 100+ years old


To drive…

1.     The experience of driving an EV is excellent
2.     There is now sufficient variety of EVs being offered (between pure EV and PHEV)
3.     Range anxiety is almost over
4.     There are exclusive benefits for EVs in most large cities
5.     The running costs of an EV are much cheaper than those of equivalent ICEs

…not to buy

1.     High volatility of residual values.
2.     Current EVs may age rapidly
3.     Current local benefits of driving an EV will gradually dissapear
4.     Taxes on EVs will increase.


We are living fascinating times for the automotive industry.  We are witnessing a transition from internal combustion engines (ICEs) to electric engines as the means of providing power to move our vehicles.  As in any shift in technology, it is difficult to decide when to make the switch.  In this article I will try to give you the fundamental reasons why the time has come for most of us to drive an electric car.  I will also recommend not buying those electric cars (leasing them will be preferred).

1.     The experience of driving an EV is excellent.

After more than a century of driving cars with an internal combustion engine (ICE), we have learned to live with its intrinsic characteristics of noise, vibration and uneven power delivery.  And, of course, the emissions of unhealthy rejects into the atmosphere.  In fact, those of us who are passionate about cars, tend to admire the “good” noise that some of those engines emit, love using the gear-change to keep the engine at its optimum revs and basically ignore all the pollution generated while running.

When driving a car with an electric engine, we suddenly realise that we were just sticking to a flawed way of providing mobility because we had not tried alternatives.  If you have time, you can read my previous article on what to expect when switching from an ICE driven car to one with an electric engine (EV)[1], where I try to summarise all the things that may change in your driving experience.

It is just a plain superior reality in so many ways that you may wonder why you did not try it earlier.  The magical silence and lack of vibration while running is immediately noticeable.  Not feeling the annoying stop/start of the engine in the city is a welcome gain.  And the unstressed linear acceleration an added bonus. Of course, knowing that you are not producing pollution while running is the ultimate benefit, not only to you, but to everyone.  I cannot stress it enough, please try it and hopefully you will agree with me.

2.     There is now sufficient variety of EVs (and PHEVs) being offered

Up to very recently, the number of EVs on offer was very limited and their cost too high.  A new technology that had to compete with the 20th century wonder of mass production, the ICE car, has faced logical challenges in order to provide a viable alternative.  The electric engine in an EV is not a technical or cost challenge, but the means of providing energy to that engine is a different story.  The batteries in an EV are by far the single largest source of cost and added bulk.

With continuously decreasing cost of batteries due to extensive research and mass manufacturing, we are reaching the point where it is economically feasible to offer a mass-produced electric car at competitive prices.

The shift to a new drivetrain technology, a fundamental change for car manufacturers, is an opportunity with high risks for the incumbents.  Up to last year, the choice of EVs on the market was very limited.  However, most traditional manufacturers are now launching EVs and have many electric models in their pipeline.  From a handful of available models, we are quickly seeing a variety of new offers entering the market in many different segments.  We are far from the myriad options of sizes, shapes, trims and engine configurations offered in the very mature ICE market. Available EVs, however, are quickly multiplying, giving drivers a reasonable variety of choice. 

In fact, in addition to pure electric cars (which only have an electric engine), there are many plug-in hybrid electric cars (PHEVs), which add an electric engine to a traditional IC engine, complementing it, not replacing it. These PHEVs combine both engines in an effort to supplement the virtues of electric driving with the long range driving capabilities of gas power.  I mention them because they are clearly bridging the gap between ICEs and EVs in this transition times. 

You can look at PHEVs as an expensive transition format, combining the cost of both engines and their accessories, the added weight and achieving limited benefits in terms of the pure electric driving experience.  I prefer to value them for helping to smooth the transition to the new electric technology for both manufacturers and drivers.  There are many of them on offer now, almost every manufacturer includes them in their range.  And most provide significant electric only range (in excess of 40 kmts on a full charge) that can cover the majority of commuting habits.

Whatever your requirements in terms of size and usage, you should be able to find a suitable EV or PHEV alternative to make the jump towards the new world of electric mobility!

3.      Range anxiety is almost over

The traditional weakness of electric cars has been their limited range on a full charge, combined with the long charging times and small number of public charging points.  Those three factors produced what has been called “range anxiety”, or the permanent worry about the need to plan your recharges in order to be able to reach your destination, especially in long trips.

Conditions are quickly changing, to the point of making range anxiety almost irrelevant.

First, for purely electric vehicles, the ranges achievable with a full battery are increasing with every new model.  Most EVs can now travel more than 300 kmts without recharging.  And, in many cases, the same vehicle is being offered with different battery sizes (and related costs and range) to give customers a broader choice.

Second, the network of recharging points is quickly being developed in many countries.  The most advanced ones in EV adoption, like Norway and The Netherlands, already offer sufficient density of public charging alternatives.

Third, the recharging times are diminishing quickly, as the combination of factors determining them is carefully optimized[2].  Nowadays, with modern chargers and battery technology, some new models are able to recharge at rates of up to 300 kilometers in 15 minutes[3].

Last, if all of the above does not offer customers full peace of mind, there is always the alternative of driving a PHEV, which combine limited electric range that is suited to most commutes and city drives with the long range and no anxiety associated with traditional ICE driven cars.

4.     There are exclusive benefits for EVs (and some PHEVs) in many large cities

Councils are trying hard to clean the air in their cities and one of the biggest sources of pollution is ICE vehicles.  In order to accelerate the transition to cleaner mobility, many large cities are offering advantages to drivers of electric vehicles.  Among the typical ones we count: free parking in regulated areas, free circulation in congestion controlled zones where ICE vehicles are not allowed or asked to pay a circulation fee, free usage of special bus or congestion free lanes, lower (or no) annual taxes.

Most of them are real tangible benefits that will make using an EV (or equivalently treated PHEV) an advantageous proposition beyond the already explained surprisingly improved driving experience.

5.     The energy cost for running an EV is much cheaper than in a fuel burning car

This is the biggest advantage from a cost perspective.  As with ICE cars, the electricity consumption of an EV depends on many variables.  And it will gradually improve over time, as manufacturers learn to optimize them.  But most EVs can now run 100 kmts on 20 kw/h of energy.  The cost of electricity will vary greatly from one region to another but, in most countries, it will be below 20 cents per kw/h.  With those numbers, the electricity cost for an EV over 100 kmts would be around 4 euros.  That would be the equivalent, depending on the fuel cost per country, of around 2/3 liters of fuel.

Numbers will vary greatly per EV model and per country, but in all cases the cost of electricity will be far lower than the fuel cost of an equivalent ICE vehicle.  That is a real economic advantage that you can enjoy on top of the other benefits of driving an electric vehicle.


These are very strong arguments for anyone to consider driving an EV or an PHEV, however, there are also significant reasons to recommend not buying it, but leasing it or searching for any form of usership where the driver does not take the risk of keeping the car after 3 to 5 years…

The reasons for this recommendation are:

1.     High volatility of residual values. 

For EVs (and a bit less for PHEVs), we are beginning to enjoy the benefits of high R&D expenditure and mass production.  We can see it in the rapidly decreasing cost of buying them, and also on the radical increase in performance that we get on the newer models compared to older ones[4].  Although the speed of improvement will logically decrease over time, we can still expect significant advances in technology for future EVs, which will have an impact on the residual value of existing ones in the future.

2.     Current EVs may age rapidly

Another effect of the speed of technological improvements on EVs is that older models quickly loose some appeal when compared to what is offered on newer ones.  For ICEs, using a car during 10+ years will not generate in the driver a feeling of great obsolescence, as long as the car is properly maintained.  In the current generation of EVs, that may not be the case.  Traditional car manufacturers have just started to dedicate large amounts to the development of electric vehicles.  The pay-off of those substantial investments is going to appear incrementally in the new EVs to be released in the years to come.  We will probably be able to access EVs that show longer range, are more efficient and less expensive than the current equivalent ones.

My personal impression is that the latest EVs offer compelling benefits to make the jump to the new technology now.  But being aware that, in 3 to 5 years, there will probably be really improved models, with so many new features available that upgrading to them will seem like a must.  Think about the first smartphones available in 2007 and how quickly newer models were providing the user with more benefits.  We will experience something similar with current EVs. They are revolutionary, a must drive, but will become obsolete in the near future when the newer ones are launched.

3.      Current local benefits of driving an EV will gradually disappear.

Some of those benefits previously described, like free parking or free usage of restricted lanes, are naturally going to be limited in time.  As more people make the switch to EVs or PHEVs, the incentives given to early adoption will stop making sense. 

Imagine regulated parking in a city, where allocation of a limited resource (parking spaces on the street) is managed by putting a price on it and restricting the total time that it can be used.  As a greater number of vehicles enjoy benefits, the resource becomes less usable and the income stream for municipalities decreases.  The natural move is to gradually remove those advantages for early adopters of clean cars as the total number of them increases.

This is another reason to avoid buying an EV/PHEV at this time, since the desirability of its usage (and the demand for it) in the future can be more volatile, depending on the privileges that it still enjoys when used.

4.     Taxes on electric vehicles will increase        

Another natural evolution that we can expect as the number of EVs on the roads increases and become significant is the creation of new taxes.  All administrations have come to rely on significant income derived from cars.  Taxes upon purchasing, yearly road licensing and, most of all, taxes on fuel.  The last ones represent a significant income for most administrations (up to 5% of total income).  It will obviously take some time to shift all cars on the road to the new electric drivetrains.  But regulators will see their tax income from ICE vehicles decrease and will probably react by creating new taxes on the EVs to compensate their income[5].


Conclusion


We are currently in what I would identify as the sweet spot, the right time, to start using an EV.  As explained, it is a fantastic driving experience, to move smoothly, without generating air or noise pollution. The technology is reliable, the drawbacks of limited range and need to recharge are quickly diminishing.  The running costs are lower.  And there are significant exclusive benefits in yearly taxes and parking/road usage. 

However, the environment is still evolving quickly.  Battery technology will continue improving and will make the next generation of EVs significantly more appealing than the existing ones.  And some of the current advantages, usage privileges, and taxes treatment may change in the near future. 

Therefore, the logical choice, is to drive an EV, but not to own it yet, since in 3/5 years circumstances may change and force us to revisit the decision.

But I invite you to make that change and start enjoying the world of EVs!






[1] “Switching from ICEs to electric, goodbyes and hellos”, published in my blog, blog.jr-aboutcars.com
[2] The speed of transfer of electricity to the car battery depends on many factors and changes frequently.  The output power capacity of the charging station is one.  But the maximum input power capacity of the battery is another.  The latter also fluctuates with conditions of the battery, like temperature and charge level. 

[3] Tesla model 3 can recharge at that rate on their proprietary Tesla Superchargers 3.0 (250KW)
[4] The most important element of improvement is the battery, where we are benefiting from increased capacities with similar bulk, weight and cost, allowing newer EVs to offer longer driving ranges.  An  additional benefit in newer EVs is the capacity to charge batteries faster.
[5] To be fair, the speed of this change may be slower than the 3 to 5 year window that I refer to in the rest of the article.  Replacement of the existing cars on the road with EVs will take much longer and the decrease in tax income may not be felt so quickly.  However, regulators tend to be very creative when introducing new taxing figures and can try to anticipate those decreases in fuel tax income in advance.

Wednesday, July 3, 2019

Ten reasons to admire Tesla



Ten reasons to admire TESLA



Tesla was founded 16 years ago, in July 2003, and has achieved significant success selling electric cars. With more than 700.000 vehicles sold since its inception, it was a breath of fresh air in a 100+ years old industry that shaped the world of mobility in the 20th century, but which was somewhat stagnant and mature in the 21st.

And it has done so very much in a silicon valley start-up style, breaking the preconceived rules of car manufacturing and distribution. Doing it with a clean sheet of paper that has resulted in significant differences in their product and the client experience.  Tesla has invested heavily in electric drivetrains, battery technology, autonomous driving and a network of proprietary charging stations[1].

Although they have sold more than 240.000 vehicles in 2018 and more than double that figure since their inception, they still need to prove the financial viability of their business model.  Tesla has only generated a positive net income in a quarter, never for a full year.

The market for electric vehicles (EVs) is quickly growing worldwide, but the incumbents are now reacting and launching many products that compete directly with Tesla´s.  In my opinion, there is still significant uncertainty about the long-term viability of Tesla as an independent vehicle manufacturer. 

There are, however, no doubts in my mind that Tesla has shaken and fundamentally changed an industry that was in its second century of existence showing little innovation in their business fundamentals.  Just that fact is cause for celebration and why I have come up with these 10 reasons to admire Tesla.


1.    It has successfully entered a very difficult industry with huge barriers to entry.

To put things in perspective, the only independent new brand (not owned by other manufacturer) that has entered the automotive market in the western world[2] in the past 50 years has been McLaren, and it has done so leveraging their car racing and engineering know-how plus in small volumes of the ultra-luxury sports cars segment.

The main reasons for the lack of new entrants are a crowded, mature market, and the huge capital requirements needed.  Designing, engineering, sourcing all components, tooling a factory, manufacturing and selling cars that are reliable and meet the myriad regulations to be allowed to commercialise them, is a task that has proven too difficult to undertake for newcomers.

We have seen, of course, new brands being launched, like Acura, Lexus and Infinity or DS in the luxury segment.  Or existing, dormant brands being revived, Dacia, Mini or Bugatti.  But all of them have been managed by established manufacturers[3] in an effort to reach new segments without stretching their existing brands.

Tesla started from scratch, fitting some batteries and an electric engine into an existing Lotus Elise and turning it into a high performance Tesla electric roadster.  In 2012 they launched their first totally new car, the Model S and, since then, have launched the Model X (2015) and the Model 3 (2017), with other lines in the pipeline (Model Y, Cybertruck pick-up, new Roadster, and Semi truck).

The audacity of Tesla is the choice of a different drivetrain technology altogether (electric engine being fed by batteries) that has allowed them to build clear differentiation from what was offered in the marketplace at the time. Additionally, they have done it with a blanc sheet of paper, their own design and manufacture.  And on top of it all, they still managed to fulfil all the regulatory requirements (most of them safety related).

Interestingly, Tesla has not been the first to market in the 21st century with a battery electric vehicle (BEV).  Nissan launched their Leaf model in 2010 and Renault launched the Fluence electric in 2011 and the Zoe in 2012.  However, those early entries were done by existing OEMs, using their well proven design and manufacture capabilities.  Tesla has entered the market as a true start-up, not relying on any existing infrastructure or know-how[4].  And they have chosen a premium segment as their entry point.  That was a very brave proposition, given some recent history of failed entries into that segment[5].

Tesla has sold to date more than 700.000 cars, not much compared to the production of the big manufacturers.  But a significant number that places them as the clear leaders of the premium electric car category.

2.    It has a meaningful mission that it is accomplishing.  “Accelerate the world´s transition to sustainable energy”.

I personally admire companies that have a clear stated mission of how they want to influence the world we live in a positive, forward looking manner.  In many cases, the missions have been added on top of an existing company as a means of providing direction to its strategy and engagement for the different stakeholders. 

Very rarely I have seen a company whose reason of existence and full activity are so aligned with the mission that guides them. 

Tesla states their mission as “Accelerate the world´s transition to sustainable energy”

With its entry into the mobility landscape with the first really successful EV, they have shaken the industry and accelerated its transition from internal combustion engines (ICE) to electric engines (EV).  Given that transportation (cars, trucks, trains, planes, boats) is one of the biggest contributors to CO2 emissions (around 25% of total in 2014), by opening the market to EVs and forcing other players to develop competing EVs, they are indeed being true to their mission[6]

3.     It has a powerful brand name, linking it to the origins of electricity (Nikola Tesla)

There is a lot of subjectivity, of course, in my assessment of the Tesla brand.  But there is no denying that they have managed to create a space for themselves in the very crowded landscape of automotive names, without any significant investment in advertising.

The Tesla brand is very consistent with the products they sell.  First of all, it is relevant to their business.  Nikola Tesla was a Serbian-American inventor that contributed to the development of the alternating current electricity supply system that is ubiquitous today.

Secondly, it is short and easy to pronounce in most languages.  And finally, it is supported by a simple logo and futuristic letters, all conveying the image of an avant-garde new player for the car industry.




4.     It has changed the distribution patterns of the industry, by avoiding dealers and selling direct via internet

The car industry has relied on a very mature and tested model for distributing and servicing its vehicles, via a network of franchised dealers in every territory they want to cover.  Those dealers helped provide reach, a buffer for inventory, physical proximity to the customer, quick information on the quality of the product and after sales servicing.

But dealers are also an expensive means of distributing cars.  And in the global world of internet, bricks and mortar reach is not a big issue anymore. 

Tesla has been brave to sell direct and foregone the costly set up of a franchised dealer distribution network. It is obviously a cheaper and quicker means of distributing cars.  The remaining challenge will be the after sales and repair services for the vehicles sold.
But kudos to Tesla for stepping out of the tested path of car distribution and once again shaken the industry by doing so[7].

5.    It has successfully introduced in a mature industry the newest trends in technology

Our beloved cars are evolving from simple transportation tools to connected mobility devices.  The only entertainment included in the car up to very recently was the stereo system, be it radio, CD or MP3.  In the 21st century, however, the mobile technology has jumped on board the car, incorporating navigation, full internet connectivity and a myriad other functions (concierge services, wifi hotspot, online search, voice command, gesture command, mobile phone mirroring…). 

The most radical change inside the car in the new century has been seen in the now called infotainment system, and Tesla has been a significant accelerator for that trend.

Tesla has made the infotainment experience closest to the one we are used to on our mobile phones and tablets.  By incorporating a huge and extremely responsive tactile screen in the dashboard with sharp graphics, which concentrates almost all commands and functions needed while driving the car.  This includes infotainment, climate, customization of some driving parameters, seat adjustments and, in the latest Model 3, even the orientation of the ventilation loovers.

I personally prefer physical nobs and buttons to a touchscreen.  They allow to make adjustments by relying on tact alone without the need to take the eyes off the road.  And I believe the aggregation of commands around the i-drive knob pioneered by BMW and later used in similar fashions by many manufacturers is the best compromise of a physical input device with multitude of functions.

But the influence of Tesla has been so profound that the trend is now clear.  More and more cars are incorporating tactile screens as the dominant input and information mechanism for operation.  Dual screens are common in some brands (Audi, Land Rover), with one acting as traditional infotainment, while the other one takes care of all climate and driving parameters customization.  There seems to be no coming back from the tactile screen as information and input device inside a car and, to date, Tesla seems to have the edge of the most intuitive and responsive design among the car industry.  Another reason to admire Tesla.

6.    It seems to have an edge technologically on battery and efficient use of the energy

Those of you who have read my previous article[8] know that I believe the car of the near future will be driven by an electric engine.  The means of providing energy (electricity) to that engine can nowadays be a battery (Battery Electric Vehicle, BEV) that is recharged on the electricity network.  Or hydrogen, which is stored in a tank like fuel and later used by a machine called fuel cell to transform it into electricity that is fed into the engine and water that is disposed of.

Those two means of feeding electricity to the engine (batteries or hydrogen+fuel-cell) are being constantly improved and developed.  I still reserve my judgement on which, if any, will be the prevailing one. For the time being, however, batteries seem to be the ones taking the lead, with most electric cars being launched using them as a means of storing energy.

Tesla only produces battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and has been doing so for the past 16 years.  That focus has given them an edge in two very important factors for a BEV, the batteries themselves and the efficient use of the energy they provide.

Both elements contribute significantly to the overall drivable range of the electric car, which is one of the main concerns for drivers.  Being able to store energy in a more efficiently (in terms of space and weight) and more economically (in terms of cost) way, will greatly influence the usage experience of the electrical car.

According to many reports, Tesla batteries seem to be the industry benchmark for electricity storage technology in a car.  Their high energy density, their cooling and safety systems and their increasingly small use of rare materials[9] seem to be ahead of the development curve of the rest of manufacturers.  The incumbents will quickly catch up, given their vast technological resources and the increasing amounts they are investing in batteries.  But in the current generation of BEVs on offer today, Tesla seems to have a tangible advantage.

In terms of using the stored energy efficiently, Tesla also seems to manage to stay ahead of its competitors.  If we measure the amount of energy needed to drive a given distance (watts per kilometers/miles), and we look at the ratings given by the EPA[10], we see that most Tesla´s vehicles use about 250-300 watts per mile driven, whilst similar models in terms of size and performance from competitors use significantly more energy.  Perhaps Tesla´s software is more efficient in managing the available energy, or they have optimised the whole car to do so, but they seem to still have a clear advantage over current competitors in using the precious stored energy more efficiently.  Another reason to admire them.

7.     It has brought some flamboyancy into a very conservative industry.  Things like ludicrous mode or the easter eggs

These are just anecdotes in the day to day driving experience, but Tesla has applied some of the thinking of the software industry into their cars to bring some detail differentiation into their products.

In an industry dominated by tradition, safety and standardised functionality, it is quite refreshing to see things like a “ludicrous[11]” mode included in the customisation possibilities of the car.  It is simply a performance oriented set of parameters for launching and driving the car, but it is just amusing to see how it has been named and to experience the process of engaging it[12].

In addition, all Tesla´s include some “easter eggs”[13], either via their control screen or “hidden” around the rest of the car.  It is a typical concept of computer software, and in the Tesla cars, for example, it allows to engage a “romance mode”, which fills the screen with an image of a burning fireplace and warms up the interior of the car while stationary.  Or an Atari mode, which turns the screen into a video game monitor with some of the most popular classic games of Atari (only playable while standing still).  There are many more hidden jokes and functionality[14] in every Tesla and it is a testimony to their level of dedication in creating a customer experience that is unique and differentiating in a very conservative industry.  You have to admire Tesla for that!

8.    It has pioneered over the air updates to continuously improve its product

It is a trend that revolutionised the software business decades ago, which Tesla has pioneered in the car industry.  Given the increasing amount of software code included into our vehicles[15], it makes perfect sense to be able to continuously improve it in a way that is transparent to the user.

We are used to the burden of visiting an official dealer of the brand in order to repair, maintain and, if available, update the car.  Things like improvements of the navigation system with newer versions required a visit to the dealer.

With Tesla, their drivers get a notification that a new software version is available to download via the screen in the car or their app.  Just like with mobile phones.  The owner just accepts the download and “voilá”, the car receives a set of improvements instantly and without much delay or effort from the driver.

The range of improvements that have been made over the air is extremely wide.  From the functionality and usability of the central command screen to more driving oriented elements like acceleration, efficient use of energy or even braking performance[16]

Doing over the air updates is the logical step with a connected car, but once again Tesla has really pushed its usage to improve the customer experience and by doing so, has led the whole automotive industry down the same improved path.

9.    It has deployed its own supercharger network

One of the barriers to adoption of the Battery Electric Vehicles (BEV) is their limited range, and the difficulty in finding recharging points when traveling.  Having a limited range and not many places to “refuel” brings on the unfortunately popular range anxiety.

Tesla has worked on many areas in order to almost eliminate that burden for the electric car adoption.  On the one hand, their cars have large batteries and an efficient use of the energy that provides longer range to their vehicles.  On the other, they have invested significantly in creating a network of chargers that is exclusively available to their cars.  At the beginning of this year, Tesla already had more than 12,000 superchargers in 1,422 stations installed.

Most of them are in the US, but they are quickly installing posts in Europe as well.  It is a real competitive advantage and the only element of their offer that they have kept closed[17].  Their charger network is very advanced, being able to charge at very high rates of up to 250 Kw/h in their latest version and very well integrated into the mapping software of their cars.  On any planned trip, the on-board navigation system will plot the stops needed at the supercharger network and continuously update the availability of free posts while on the road.

So, ironically, Tesla has managed to successfully accelerate the transition of the car industry towards electric driven vehicles, but it is creating a barrier that may slow down that adoption rate by making their charging network proprietary to their brand. 

In any case, it is clear that Tesla has invested a significant amount of capital in the creation of their supercharger network and, with it, have given themselves a temporal competitive advantage[18] in the EV industry. 

10. It has made great advances in autonomous driving technology

The car industry is under a perfect storm during these past years.  The transition from internal combustion engines (ICEs) to electric engines as a means of movement is just one of the drivers.  The other three would be the connected car, the sharing economy and autonomous driving.

Tesla is a driving force of change in three of those vectors.  We have already elaborated a bit about its influence on the adoption of electric engines and its developments around the connected car[19].  The real game changer of the mobility industry, however, will be the adoption of autonomous driving technology.  I personally believe there are enough barriers to overcome to make it a slower process than has been advertised and anticipated. 

In any case, there is no denying that Tesla is at the forefront in the development and specially in the deployment of such a technology.  Most of their cars have hardware that allows the engagement of a high degree of autonomous driving.  And their software for that purpose in under continuous development and update.

There is still high uncertainty about the right mix of technology needed to provide the autonomous driving capabilities of the future.  But there is no discussion to the fact that Tesla is capturing, through its installed base of running vehicles, a vast amount of very valuable information that will be critical in the future development of the technology.

Conclusion

Tesla is capitalising on the driving forces of change currently shaking the automotive industry and has carved a significant niche in selling electric cars.  I have tried to summarise in this article some of the brave decisions and moves that have allowed them to reach their current position.  As stated through the text, all of them are reason for admiration, because they have brought much innovation into the slow moving and conservative industry.  What a fascinating time for all car lovers!




About the author:  Jaime Requeijo has been a car lover most of his life.  As a business executive, he has been lucky to combine his passion with work in companies like Peugeot and LeasePlan.  Now he enjoys giving advice on mobility as a consultant and writing about his favorite car topics.

Disclaimer:   This article is not meant to be a technical paper.  Its purpose is to entertain and to inform people about the exciting activities that have made Tesla so unique in the industry.  When mentioning technical aspect, I have tried to do adequate research and careful statement of facts.  I may have made some wrong technological assumptions or imperfect explanations.  If that were the case, my apologies.  Please feel free to contact me if you can help me improve the accuracy of the article (jaime.requeijo@gmail.com).  Thank you for reading it.  I hope you enjoyed it as much as I did writing it!






[1] Tesla is also present in other renewal technology products, like solar panels and batteries for homes and small businesses.
[2] There are of course new Chinese brands being created in the past decades, but they have yet to prove their capability of selling significant volumes in the more mature markets (US, Europe, Japan).
[3] Acura was launched as a luxury brand in the US by Honda.  Lexus is owned by Toyota, Infinity by Nissan and DS by the PSA (Peugeot/Citröen/Opel) Group.  Mini was a dormant brand that BMW Group decided to re-launch in the 21st century for the launch of a premium city car.  Dacia was a Romanian brand that used to build licensed Renault models.  In 1999 it was acquired by Renault and relaunched as a value based brand. Bugatti is owned by the VW Group.
[4] Tesla did acquire a car manufacturing plant from GM in California, but they thoroughly refurbished it.
[5] The VW Phaeton comes to mind as well as the recent announcement by Infinity of pulling out of the European market they had entered about a decade ago.
[6] Tesla also produces batteries and solar panels, all of which are in line with their mission.
[7] Incumbent OEMs are trying hard to combine the immediate reach of internet with the need to maintain an existing distribution network.  Tesla is a small player, but it has put significant pressure on the other manufacturers by proving that customers are very happy purchasing direct.
[8] “Switching from ICEs to Electric – Goodbye´s and Hello´s” published on my blog as well.
[9] I am no subject matter expert, but I have researched quite a bit.  Li-Ion seems to be the dominant technology nowadays for car batteries.  They include rare materials like nickel, lithium and cobalt, which, although relatively abundant in nature, have not been mined up to now due to lack of demand and thus generate offer constraints due to sudden spikes of demand.  Cobalt seems to be the most difficult material to source in constructing a Li-Ion battery and according to some industry experts who have torn down the batteries inside Tesla´s Model 3, it includes much lower amounts of cobalt than previous generations of batteries.
[10] Environmental Protection Agency, the US body that sets the norms and controls energy consumption in cars.
[11] so foolish, unreasonable, or out of place as to be amusing”

[12] There are endless reference videos available, like this one https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UlhkTx0xKew
Basically, you have to push on the “ludicrous” logic button on the screen for 5 seconds, and a warp star trek like image of flying through the stars fills the screen.  You then get a message asking you “are you sure you want to push the limits?, this will cause accelerated wear of the motor, gearbox and battery” with the option of two boxes for response, one in blue stating “No, I want my Mommy” and one in red choosing “Yes, bring it on”.  It is a bit childish, but no doubt refreshing and capturing the essence of those launch modes available in many performance cars.
[13] In computer software and media, an Easter egg is an intentional inside joke, hidden message or image, or secret feature of a work. It is usually found in a computer program, video game, or DVD/Blu-ray Disc menu screen. The name is used to evoke the idea of a traditional Easter egg hunt

[14] There are many articles available on the topic.  Here is one as an example

[15] According to this very interesting article by McKinsey, in 2010 some vehicles had about 10 million Softward Lines of Code (SLOC), by 2016 this amount had expanded by a factor of 15, to 150 million SLOCs

[16] Regarding breaking, in their first trial of the Model 3, the widely read Consumer Reports magazine gave it a poor performance.  Telsa solved it with a quick over the air update and according to CR the braking distance improved by 19 feet!
[17] Back in June 2014, Tesla opened up its patents on battery technology, in a move that some described as tactical in their race with fuel cell to be the technology providing electricity to the EVs in the future.
[18] It will only last as long as a proper network of universal chargers is being built in those countries where a significant number of EVs is being sold.  Many players in different industries like utilities or oil companies and of course car manufacturers are planning large investments in the creation of charging networks.
[19] The over the air updates of their software is the most visible use of the connected car.  But given their installed base of cars and their capacity to uptate them, it will be very easy for Tesla to incorporate all type of “connected car” services into their vehicles in the future.